NYSE: VST
Vistra Corp.
Utilities · Independent Power Producers
After hours: $140.80(+0.15%) · as of 4:21 PM ET
Market Cap
$47.40B
52w High
$219.82
52w Low
$132.66
P/E
50.61
Volume
7.77M
Outstanding Shares
337.18M
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
What changed
The stock fell 31.62% over the last year. Revenue declined 23.98% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 33.52% to 7.93%. Free cash flow declined 43.92% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The market is reacting to weaker business momentum more than just compressing the valuation multiple. Even if the shares already screen cheap on P/FCF, investors are still discounting lower future earnings power.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin stands at 7.93%. Revenue declined 23.98% — this read reverses if that trend stabilizes. Free cash flow fell 43.92% — a return toward positive territory would undermine the deterioration thesis. If margins and cash flow stabilize while the stock stays depressed, the gap shifts from fundamental damage toward pure multiple compression.
Company profile
Vistra Corp., along with its various holdings, functions as a unified entity primarily engaged in retail electricity supply and power generation.
Valuation
Stock splits
Every 50 shares became 1
Every 10 shares became 1
Every 1 shares became 3
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
20
Buy
2
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Aug 7, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $1.61 · Revenue est $5.46B
View
Dividends
$0.91/shareQuarterly6yr growth streakAt RiskVST pays a dividend with a 0.65% declared yield, 6 consecutive years of growth, growing at 9.33% annually, covered 0.3× by free cash flow.
Declared Yield
0.65%
Annual Div / Share
$0.91
5yr CAGR
+9.33%
Doubles every ~7.8yr
Payout Ratio
14.28%
At Risk
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+4.52%
5yr CAGR
+9.33%
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
Income Projection
Today
$1/mo
In 5 yrs
$1/mo
In 10 yrs
$1/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$7/yr $1/mo | $10/yr+56% $1/mo | $16/yr+144% $1/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 0.65% → 1.59% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Strengths
Strong dividend growth rate
The 5-year CAGR of 9.33% meaningfully outpaces inflation, compounding real income growth for long-term holders.
Risks to Watch
Dividend exceeds free cash flow
Free cash flow covers only 0.26× the dividend. The company is paying out more than it generates in cash, which is unsustainable without borrowing or asset sales.