NYSE · WMB
Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream
$72.05▲ 0.33% ($0.24)at close
After hours$72.30▲ 0.35%·7:30 PM ET
To support a price of $72.05, this model requires revenue to grow by 13.99%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.
Historical revenue grew by 2.98%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 11.02 percentage points higher.
Selected forecast · Base scenario
2.7%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth
Year 1 growth: 4.22%
Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins
13.99%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth
Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.
Price used
$72.05
Estimated value / share
$14.35
Base scenario
This estimate is 80.08% below the price used.
Year 1 growth 4.22% · Ending margin 30% · Discount rate 7.22%
Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.
Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.
FCFF is positive, but the series is too unstable to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR and the business still fails the steady-state comparability checks. Use a revenue-and-margin transition model instead of normalizing and compounding current FCFF.
Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 7 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 62.7%. Latest capex is 2.0x the prior median, which points to a capex supercycle that should be normalized first.
Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? 7 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.
Is the business model structurally similar to what it should be in 10 years? Operating margin moved 14.8 percentage points across the last five years, above the 10.0-point stability threshold, so steady-state FCFF is not a reliable anchor yet.
WMB
Price vs Fundamentals
The stock rose 19.33% over the last year. Revenue grew 8.83% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 32.21% to 40.31%. Free cash flow declined 111.86% over the trailing twelve months.
The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (97th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.
Operating margin is at 40.31% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 8.83% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.
Performance
Company profile
The Williams Companies, Inc., alongside its subsidiaries, operates as a prominent energy infrastructure entity, primarily conducting business throughout the United States.
Market multiples
Stock splits
Every 1019 shares became 1250
Every 459 shares became 500
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 2 shares became 3
Every 1 shares became 2
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Analyst consensus
27
Buy
7
Hold
0
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Nov 2, 2026
Q4 FY26 · EPS est $0.56 · Revenue est $3.01B
View
Dividends
$2.07/shareQuarterly8yr growth streakAt RiskWMB pays a dividend with a 2.88% dividend yield, 8 consecutive years of growth, growing at 4.56% annually, covered 0.4× by free cash flow.
Dividend Yield
2.88%
Annual Div / Share
$2.07
5yr CAGR
+4.56%
Doubles every ~15.5yr
Payout Ratio
81.52%
At Risk
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+5.57%
5yr CAGR
+4.56%
10yr CAGR
-2.01%
Dividend History
Annual dividends paid per share
Income Projection
Today
$2/mo
In 5 yrs
$3/mo
In 10 yrs
$4/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$29/yr $2/mo | $36/yr+25% $3/mo | $45/yr+56% $4/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 2.88% → 4.5% over 10yr
Analysis
No strong strength signal stands out from the latest period pair.
High payout ratio
With 81.52% of earnings paid as dividends, there is limited retained earnings for reinvestment — and a dividend cut becomes more likely if earnings decline.
Dividend exceeds free cash flow
Free cash flow covers only 0.41× the dividend. The company is paying out more than it generates in cash, which is unsustainable without borrowing or asset sales.
Market cap
$88.13B
P/E
28.70
EPS (TTM)
$2.51
Next earnings
Nov 2, 2026