NYSE · XOM

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

$163.30▼ 0.01% ($0.02)at close

After hours$163.47▲ 0.10%7:59 PM ET

52-week

$110.39$176.41

Market cap

$676.79B

P/E

20.81

EPS (TTM)

$7.85

Next earnings

Oct 30, 2026

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

To support a price of $163.30, this model requires revenue to grow by 4.7%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.

Historical revenue grew by 4.02%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 0.68 percentage points higher.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

9.27%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth

Year 1 growth: 14.53%

Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins

4.7%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth

Reverse DCF solves revenue growth itself using Base operating assumptions and your edited margins. Changing forecast growth alone does not change the implied rate. This is a model-implied requirement, not an analyst forecast.

Valuation

Recommended · Revenue & margin DCF

Price used

$163.30

Estimated value / share

$240.37

Base scenario

This estimate is 47.19% above the price used.

USD · TTM ending 2026-06-30

Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.

Year 1 growth 14.53% · Ending margin 10.15% · Discount rate 7.31%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.

Price timestamp: Sep 17, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-06-30
Data refreshed: Sep 18, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC · provider

Why this method?

FCFF is positive, but the series is too unstable to anchor a direct cash-flow CAGR and the business still fails the steady-state comparability checks. Use a revenue-and-margin transition model instead of normalizing and compounding current FCFF.

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 5 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 71.4%.

Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? 5 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Is the business model structurally similar to what it should be in 10 years? Revenue is still growing 44.1%, above the 15.0% maturity threshold, so a steady-state FCFF model would lean too heavily on a business still scaling.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Optimism is getting priced inModerate confidence

1Y Price: 41.35%Revenue (TTM): 9.62%FCF (TTM): 4.91%P/FCF: 64th pct

What changed

The stock rose 41.35% over the last year. Revenue grew 9.62% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 11.41% to 10.71%. Free cash flow grew 4.91% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (64th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.

What would invalidate this read

Operating margin is at 10.71% — continued expansion would be needed to justify the premium. Revenue growth of 9.62% is encouraging, but any deceleration puts the stretched multiple at risk. This read changes if revenue, margins, and cash flow continue to improve faster than expected — in that case the richer multiple could still prove conservative.

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

Exxon Mobil Corporation is a global energy firm that undertakes the exploration and extraction of oil and natural gas resources across its domestic operations and international territories.

CEODarren W. Woods

SectorEnergy

IndustryOil & Gas Integrated

Employees57,900

IPO dateJan 13, 1978

https://corporate.exxonmobil.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA8.12

Enterprise value$550.92B

Stock splits

Jul 19, 2001↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Apr 14, 1997↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Sep 15, 1987↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Jun 12, 1981↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Jul 26, 1976↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth44.1%

Gross margin (FY2025)21.68%▼0.9ppvs FY2024

Operating margin (FY2025)10.48%▼1.2ppvs FY2024

ROE12.55%▲1.5ppvs FY2025

Analyst consensus

RatingHold

Target price$173.42▲6.20%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Oct 30, 2026

Q4 FY26 · EPS est $3.54 · Revenue est $106.77B

View

Dividends

$4.12/shareQuarterlyDividend Aristocrat · 25yrAdequate

XOM pays a dividend with a 2.52% dividend yield, 25 consecutive years of growth, growing at 3.43% annually, covered 1.4× by free cash flow.

Dividend Yield

2.52%

Annual Div / Share

$4.12

5yr CAGR

+3.43%

Doubles every ~20.5yr

Payout Ratio

52.63%

Adequate

Dividend Growth Rate

3yr CAGR

+4.22%

5yr CAGR

+3.43%

10yr CAGR

+3.36%

Dividend Safety

6/10Adequate

Dividend History

Annualized dividend cycles per share

YearAnnual DivYoY

2026$4.12+4.0%

2025$3.96+4.2%

2024$3.80+4.4%

2023$3.64+3.4%

2022$3.52+1.1%

2021$3.48+0.0%

2020$3.48+3.0%

Income Projection

Invest

USD

Growth rate:

Reinvest dividends

Today

$25/yr

$2/mo

In 5 yrs

$30/yr+18%

$2/mo

In 10 yrs

$35/yr+40%

$3/mo

Today	In 5 yrs	In 10 yrs
$25/yr $2/mo	$30/yr+18% $2/mo	$35/yr+40% $3/mo

Yield-on-cost grows from 2.52% → 3.54% over 10yr

Analysis

Dividend Strengths

Dividend Aristocrat

XOM has raised its dividend for 25 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Aristocrat, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.

Risks to Watch

No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.

NYSE · XOM

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

$163.30▼ 0.01% ($0.02)at close

After hours$163.47▲ 0.10%7:59 PM ET

52-week

$110.39$176.41

Market cap

$676.79B

P/E

20.81

EPS (TTM)

$7.85

Next earnings

Oct 30, 2026

What the market price implies · Reverse DCF

To support a price of $163.30, this model requires revenue to grow by 4.7%/yr over the next 10 years, compounded annually.

Historical revenue grew by 4.02%/yr over the past 4 years. The required annual growth rate is 0.68 percentage points higher.

Selected forecast · Base scenario

9.27%/yr · actual 10-year annualized revenue growth

Year 1 growth: 14.53%

Market-implied · Base operating assumptions + edited margins

4.7%/yr · flat 10-year annualized revenue growth

Valuation

Recommended · Revenue & margin DCF

Price used

$163.30

Estimated value / share

$240.37

Base scenario

This estimate is 47.19% above the price used.

USD · TTM ending 2026-06-30

Latest quarterly growth differs materially from the latest annual pace. It remains an observed growth input; review whether acceleration or a change in the business explains it.

Year 1 growth 14.53% · Ending margin 10.15% · Discount rate 7.31%

Assumption scenarios, not statistical confidence intervals.

Method, dates & sources

Estimated from future revenue, operating margins, and the investment needed to support them.

Price timestamp: Sep 17, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
Financial statement period: TTM ending 2026-06-30
Data refreshed: Sep 18, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC · provider

Why this method?

Is FCFF positive and has it been for 3+ consecutive years? 5 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Is FCFF stable (not swinging >30% year to year)? The largest recent FCFF swing is 71.4%.

Do you have 5+ years of positive FCFF history? 5 consecutive positive FCFF years are available.

Price vs Fundamentals

Why The Stock Is Moving

Optimism is getting priced inModerate confidence

1Y Price: 41.35%Revenue (TTM): 9.62%FCF (TTM): 4.91%P/FCF: 64th pct

What changed

The stock rose 41.35% over the last year. Revenue grew 9.62% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 11.41% to 10.71%. Free cash flow grew 4.91% over the trailing twelve months.

What the market seems to be pricing

The stock is trading toward the richer end of its historical P/FCF range (64th percentile) while business metrics are improving. More of the upside is already embedded in the multiple now.

What would invalidate this read

Performance

Return analysis

Company profile

Exxon Mobil Corporation is a global energy firm that undertakes the exploration and extraction of oil and natural gas resources across its domestic operations and international territories.

CEODarren W. Woods

SectorEnergy

IndustryOil & Gas Integrated

Employees57,900

IPO dateJan 13, 1978

https://corporate.exxonmobil.com

Market multiples

Forward P/E—

EV/EBITDA8.12

Enterprise value$550.92B

Stock splits

Jul 19, 2001↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Apr 14, 1997↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Sep 15, 1987↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Jun 12, 1981↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Jul 26, 1976↑ Forward

Every 1 shares became 2

+100%

Profitability & growth

Revenue growth44.1%

Gross margin (FY2025)21.68%▼0.9ppvs FY2024

Operating margin (FY2025)10.48%▼1.2ppvs FY2024

ROE12.55%▲1.5ppvs FY2025

Analyst consensus

RatingHold

Target price$173.42▲6.20%

Buy

Hold

Sell

Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.

Earnings

Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.

Next report

Oct 30, 2026

Q4 FY26 · EPS est $3.54 · Revenue est $106.77B

View

Dividends

$4.12/shareQuarterlyDividend Aristocrat · 25yrAdequate

XOM pays a dividend with a 2.52% dividend yield, 25 consecutive years of growth, growing at 3.43% annually, covered 1.4× by free cash flow.

Dividend Yield

2.52%

Annual Div / Share

$4.12

5yr CAGR

+3.43%

Doubles every ~20.5yr

Payout Ratio

52.63%

Adequate

Dividend Growth Rate

3yr CAGR

+4.22%

5yr CAGR

+3.43%

10yr CAGR

+3.36%

Dividend Safety

6/10Adequate

Dividend History

Annualized dividend cycles per share

YearAnnual DivYoY

2026$4.12+4.0%

2025$3.96+4.2%

2024$3.80+4.4%

2023$3.64+3.4%

2022$3.52+1.1%

2021$3.48+0.0%

2020$3.48+3.0%

Income Projection

Invest

USD

Growth rate:

Reinvest dividends

Today

$25/yr

$2/mo

In 5 yrs

$30/yr+18%

$2/mo

In 10 yrs

$35/yr+40%

$3/mo

Today	In 5 yrs	In 10 yrs
$25/yr $2/mo	$30/yr+18% $2/mo	$35/yr+40% $3/mo

Yield-on-cost grows from 2.52% → 3.54% over 10yr

Analysis

Dividend Strengths

Dividend Aristocrat

XOM has raised its dividend for 25 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Aristocrat, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.

Risks to Watch

No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.