Reading the tape
NYSE: XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation
Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Market Cap
$635.16B
52w High
$176.41
52w Low
$101.19
P/E
25.25
Volume
13.26M
Outstanding Shares
4.16B
Valuation Data Insufficient
The DCF model's fair value estimate is more than 3× the current stock price. This typically indicates unreliable model inputs — such as irregular cash flows or balance sheet distortions — rather than a genuine opportunity, so the valuation is not shown.
Price vs Fundamentals
Why The Stock Is Moving
Momentum disconnected from fundamentalsHigh confidence
1Y Price: 44.4%Revenue (TTM): -4.09%FCF (TTM): -33.32%P/FCF: 83rd pct
What changed
The stock rose 44.4% over the last year. Revenue declined 4.09% over the trailing twelve months. Operating margin moved from 11.64% to 9.01%. Free cash flow declined 33.32% over the trailing twelve months.
What the market seems to be pricing
The stock is rising despite deteriorating fundamentals and now sits at the 83rd percentile of its historical P/FCF range. This is a momentum-driven move — the market may be front-running a recovery that has not yet appeared in reported numbers.
What would invalidate this read
Operating margin (currently 9.01%) would need to stabilize or improve to justify the move. Revenue is declining 4.09% — a trend reversal in the next report would be the key signal to watch. This read is wrong if the next period shows operating metrics turning the corner. At that point the price would be anticipating real improvement rather than running ahead of it.
Company profile
Exxon Mobil Corporation explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas in the United States and internationally.
CEODarren W. Woods
SectorEnergy
IndustryOil & Gas Integrated
Employees61,000
IPO dateJan 13, 1978
Valuation
Forward P/E—
EV/EBITDA8.16
Enterprise value$554.05B
Stock splits
Jul 19, 2001↑ Forward
Every 1 shares became 2
Apr 14, 1997↑ Forward
Every 1 shares became 2
Sep 15, 1987↑ Forward
Every 1 shares became 2
Jun 12, 1981↑ Forward
Every 1 shares became 2
Jul 26, 1976↑ Forward
Every 1 shares became 2
Profitability & growth
Revenue growth2.59%
Gross margin25.49%▼4.15%vs FY2024
Operating margin9.01%▼10.36%vs FY2024
ROE11.12%▼12.93%vs FY2024
Analyst consensus
RatingHold
Target price$160.85▲5.26%
22
Buy
28
Hold
5
Sell
Analyst ratings tend to be lagging indicators. Use as one signal among many.
Earnings
Full quarter-by-quarter history of actuals vs estimates. Switch into compare mode to inspect one metric year-over-year.
Next report
Aug 7, 2026
Q3 FY26 · EPS est $3.41 · Revenue est $106.82B
View
Dividends
$4.08/shareQuarterlyDividend Aristocrat · 25yrEx-div May 15, 2026 · in 12dAdequateXOM pays a dividend with a 2.67% declared yield, 25 consecutive years of growth, growing at 3.23% annually, covered 1.4× by free cash flow.
Declared Yield
2.67%
Annual Div / Share
$4.08
5yr CAGR
+3.23%
Doubles every ~21.8yr
Payout Ratio
68.07%
Adequate
Dividend Growth Rate
3yr CAGR
+4.16%
5yr CAGR
+3.23%
10yr CAGR
+3.33%
Dividend Safety
5/10Adequate
Dividend History
Annualized dividend cycles per share
YearAnnual DivYoY
2026$4.08+4.1%
2025$3.92+4.3%
2024$3.76+4.2%
2023$3.61+2.8%
2022$3.51+0.9%
2021$3.48+0.0%
2020$3.48+4.5%
Income Projection
Invest
$
Growth rate:
Reinvest dividends
Today
$27/yr
$2/mo
In 5 yrs
$31/yr+17%
$3/mo
In 10 yrs
$37/yr+37%
$3/mo
| Today | In 5 yrs | In 10 yrs |
|---|---|---|
$27/yr $2/mo | $31/yr+17% $3/mo | $37/yr+37% $3/mo |
Yield-on-cost grows from 2.67% → 3.67% over 10yr
Analysis
Dividend Strengths
Dividend Aristocrat
XOM has raised its dividend for 25 consecutive years — qualifying as a Dividend Aristocrat, demonstrating long-term commitment to shareholder income.
Risks to Watch
No strong risk signal stands out from the latest period pair.
Congressional Activity
Congress Trades in XOM
STOCK Act disclosures from senators and representatives.
Josh Gottheimer
NJhouseDemocratPurchaseJoint2026-02-04$1,001 - $15,000+41d to discloseJosh Gottheimer
NJhouseDemocratPurchaseJoint2026-02-02$1,001 - $15,000+43d to disclose
John Boozman
ARsenateRepublicanPurchaseJoint2026-01-08$1,001 - $15,000+37d to disclose
Katie Britt
ALsenateRepublicanSale (Full)Spouse2025-04-30$1,001 - $15,000+270d to discloseKatie Britt
ALsenateRepublicanSaleSpouse2025-04-30$1,001 - $15,000+271d to discloseKatie Britt
ALsenateRepublicanPurchaseSpouse2025-04-14$1,001 - $15,000+286d to disclose